Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 2958.890770 3197.566121 3439.378261 3702.389534 3980.066723 4264.189329 4576.552985
2024-12-22 2539.056418 2891.024457 3261.068933 3677.884359 4133.062110 4613.814977 5158.717467
2024-12-29 2333.802471 2760.320745 3220.850916 3752.533550 4346.852111 4988.196094 5730.018722
2025-01-05 2147.911310 2625.236960 3152.504429 3773.994842 4482.262431 5260.110177 6174.671629
2025-01-12 1985.929649 2500.524977 3080.719991 3777.282255 4584.639615 5484.868440 6558.237941
2025-01-19 1784.736695 2315.092096 2925.340009 3671.302106 4550.190936 5544.528721 6745.953597
2025-01-26 1730.789747 2298.634469 2962.545897 3785.545510 4767.482845 5890.771518 7261.681770
2025-02-02 1662.927957 2259.665539 2968.214655 3858.387033 4933.219422 6175.643150 7706.218397
2025-02-09 1565.179446 2177.612540 2916.387036 3857.217759 5006.923216 6349.764542 8019.465863
2025-02-16 1464.064204 2085.511409 2847.020619 3829.832587 5044.958576 6478.533306 8277.013483
2025-02-23 1404.083038 2042.353422 2835.387259 3870.897039 5164.220405 6703.302922 8648.937734
2025-03-02 1326.874779 1972.667500 2786.670253 3862.399400 5219.935948 6849.670866 8925.828317
2025-03-09 1283.592726 1946.872801 2793.939102 3925.565145 5366.954259 7110.932753 9347.837054
2025-03-16 1205.665510 1870.976098 2733.380095 3899.660448 5400.691294 7232.683274 9600.275742
2025-03-23 1175.605560 1858.450167 2754.267060 3977.623759 5565.140071 7516.018427 10052.237516
2025-03-30 1126.093460 1816.423251 2733.894988 4000.034127 5657.576421 7709.386302 10393.570889
2025-04-06 1072.813850 1766.477560 2700.620980 4003.466796 5724.141732 7869.590580 10693.742070
2025-04-13 981.857277 1658.438568 2584.482932 3892.787098 5639.176887 7835.752341 10748.757559
2025-04-20 977.010795 1675.009775 2639.421168 4012.095021 5855.628750 8185.940554 11289.355876
2025-04-27 957.818560 1669.350746 2662.716442 4088.144897 6015.293997 8464.459682 11741.053807
2025-05-04 914.247328 1625.331952 2630.508185 4086.924246 6071.532449 8609.800039 12023.827458
2025-05-11 864.502283 1569.708812 2579.807451 4058.334646 6089.713600 8705.018928 12242.215967
2025-05-18 839.556440 1551.000792 2581.034104 4101.204321 6203.654144 8924.806173 12621.461002